Hostrauser's DCI Rankings -- Week 1 (06/29/09)

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Hostrauser's DCI Rankings -- Week 1 (06/29/09)

Post by Hostrauser » Mon Jun 29, 2009 7:57 am

Here's my first weekly rankings. A reminder: these ranking take into consideration actual and estimated performance scores for every single day during the week. Thus, the more times a corps performs, the lower their standard deviation. Also, just because corps A beat corps B on Saturday does not mean corps A will be ranked higher if they lost to corps B on Mon, Tue, Wed, and Thr.

WORLD CLASS
80.150 Blue Devils
78.500 The Cavaliers
78.150 Holy Name Cadets
78.125 Carolina Crown
77.400 Phantom Regiment
77.000 Santa Clara Vanguard
75.650 Bluecoats
72.675 Blue Stars
71.550 Blue Knights
71.175 Boston Crusaders
68.975 Glassmen
68.250 Madison Scouts
--------------------------
67.775 The Academy
67.375 Spirit
67.350 Pacific Crest
67.175 Troopers
66.450 Colts
--------------------------
65.425 Mandarins
64.100 Crossmen
60.400 Pioneer
TBD Cascades
TBD Jersey Surf


OPEN CLASS
71.500 Citations
70.800 Blue Devils B
68.125 SCV Cadets
66.500 7th Regiment
65.900 Gold
65.550 Revolution
65.250 Capital Regiment
64.300 Mystikal
62.775 Velvet Knights
60.550 Colt Cadets
57.700 Impulse
56.300 Spirit of Newark
--------------------------
54.975 Incognito
53.000 Racine Scouts
49.900 Blue Devils C
TBD Dutch Boy
TBD Legends
TBD Les Stentors
TBD Memphis Sound
TBD Music City
TBD Oregon Crusaders
TBD Raiders
TBD Teal Sound
TBD Blue Saints

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Re: Hostrauser's DCI Rankings -- Week 1 (06/29/09)

Post by Chapagne » Mon Jun 29, 2009 10:58 am

Just curious, how do you estimate performance scores?
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Re: Hostrauser's DCI Rankings -- Week 1 (06/29/09)

Post by Hostrauser » Mon Jun 29, 2009 11:47 am

Chapagne wrote:Just curious, how do you estimate performance scores?
Based on the average score growth of the corps that did compete, with outliers removed.

A really simple, generic example:

Day 1:
70.0 Corps A
69.0 Corps B
68.0 Corps C

Day 2:
70.8 Corps A
69.2 Corps C

Since Corps A increased by 0.8 and Corps C increased by 1.2, the average score growth from Day 1 to Day 2 was 1.0. Thus, Corps B's estimated score for Day 2 would be 70.0.

This helps insure the rankings stay consistent and that every corps is affected by judging anomalies. Another example, a little more complicated...

Day 1:
70.0 Corps A
69.0 Corps B
68.0 Corps C

Day 2:
60.0 Corps A
56.0 Corps C

Day 3:
72.0 Corps A
70.5 Corps B
69.0 Corps C

It wouldn't be fair to take a straight average of the scores: since Corps B skipped the Day 2 show with the critical judges, their average score for just Days 1 and 3 would be artificially high. Instead, by applying the average score drop of 11 points from Day 1 to Day 2, Corps B gets an estimated score (58.0) that keeps their overall average in line with the other corps they regularly competed against.

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Re: Hostrauser's DCI Rankings -- Week 1 (06/29/09)

Post by curios0811 » Mon Jun 29, 2009 8:17 pm

ya, and carolina crown as of right now has the highest score =0

i think they will be top 3 this year, maybe even WIN!!!!!!
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Re: Hostrauser's DCI Rankings -- Week 1 (06/29/09)

Post by Hostrauser » Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:34 am

curios0811 wrote:ya, and carolina crown as of right now has the highest score =0

i think they will be top 3 this year, maybe even WIN!!!!!!
Um, no they don't. Blue Devils have the highest score so far (81.65 at Stockton).

That said, I think Crown has a very good chance of becoming the first non-championship winning corps to appear in the Top 3 since 1994 Phantom Regiment. I'd love it if they do win. According to those who have seen them, Crown's show has a TON of difficulty, and the only question is whether they can reach the Blue Devils'/Cadets'/Cavaliers' usual level of end of season cleanliness.

I would also love to see either (or both!) The Academy or Troopers in Finals.

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Re: Hostrauser's DCI Rankings -- Week 1 (06/29/09)

Post by curios0811 » Tue Jun 30, 2009 6:25 pm

my bad. Devils has the highest score.

Would love to see troopers or academy in finals.
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Re: Hostrauser's DCI Rankings -- Week 1 (06/29/09)

Post by Trumpet Man 05 » Sat Jul 04, 2009 11:46 pm

Here's another random bit of trivia I discovered...

If Crown wins this year, they become only the second corps in DCI history to win the championship without ever having placed in the Top 3 prior.

The other corps? The Anaheim Kingsmen.
~Psalm 150~

OAS AAS LLS

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Re: Hostrauser's DCI Rankings -- Week 1 (06/29/09)

Post by Hostrauser » Sun Jul 05, 2009 1:32 pm

Yep. Other possible Crown factoids...

Last first-time Champion: 1996 Phantom Regiment
Last Top 3 finish for a non-Championship winning corps: 1994 Phantom Regiment.

The "Big Seven": Blue Devils, Cadets, Cavaliers, Madison Scouts, Phantom Regiment, Star of Indiana, Santa Clara Vanguard

Last time a non-"Big Seven" corps made the Top 3: 1980

Think about that last one. Only seven different corps have finished in the Top 3 over the past 28 years.

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