World of Pageantry

World of Pageantry

All times are UTC - 8 hours


Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 4 posts ] 
Author Message
 Post subject: A Look at BOA Long Beach
PostPosted: Mon Oct 24, 2016 8:34 am 
Offline
Veteran
Veteran

Joined: Wed Jul 09, 2003 8:10 pm
Posts: 690
The BOA Regional in Long Beach will be quite competitive--the most competitive in recent memory. I have compiled a list of bands that will absolutely make finals ("extremely high confidence"), vs. high/medium/low confidence.

As you can see, I believe 9 bands have a chance for 3 finals slots. This does not mean the "low" bands don't have a shot at finals. This just means, IMHO, that the bands on the "low" list will have to work extra hard to be amongst the "medium" confidence bands.

IN RANDOM ORDER...

Extremely High Confidence Bands Will Make Finals:
Clovis West H.S., CA
Vista Murrieta H.S., CA
Saratoga H.S., CA
Homestead H.S., CA
Ayala H.S., CA

High Confidence Bands Will Make Finals:
Upland H.S., CA
Chino Hills H.S., CA

Medium Confidence Bands Will Make Finals:
Arroyo H.S., CA
Corona Del Sol H.S., AZ
Nogales H.S., CA
Highland H.S., AZ
Del Valle H.S., TX
Savanna H.S., CA
Fountain Valley H.S., CA
Los Osos H.S., CA
Desert Vista H.S., AZ

Low Confidence Bands Will Make Finals:
Ysleta H.S., TX
South Pasadena H.S., CA
Perry H.S., AZ
Covina H.S., CA
La Canada H.S., CA
Carlsbad H.S., CA
Chaffey H.S., CA

NOW...if I had to drill down a bit more for bands in the "medium" confidence list for an "even likelier" shot at making finals, I think that I can safely say:

Desert Vista H.S., AZ

and

Los Osos H.S., CA

have a really, really good shot making finals. DVHS has been scoring very, very well in Arizona, and could be considered an early contender for AZ "state champion." Los Osos, too, is a Rancho Cucamonga powerhouse, and I expect them to do well.

If my calculations are right, this means 7 bands will be fighting for one spot in finals. *gulp*

Should be an exciting day...


Top
 Profile E-mail  
 
 Post subject: Re: A Look at BOA Long Beach
PostPosted: Mon Oct 24, 2016 1:55 pm 
Offline
Support Staff
Support Staff
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 29, 2002 6:46 am
Posts: 7936
Location: West Allis, WI
Here are my predicted prelims placements for BOA Long Beach...

CONVINCED WILL MAKE FINALS
1. Ayala H.S., CA
2. Vista Murrieta H.S., CA
3. Clovis West H.S., CA
4. Saratoga H.S., CA
5. Upland H.S., CA
6. Homestead H.S., CA
7. Chino Hills H.S., CA

STRONGLY CONFIDENT IN MAKING FINALS
8. Los Osos H.S., CA
9. Desert Vista H.S., AZ
10. Savanna H.S., CA
11. Arroyo H.S., CA

DARK HORSES FOR FINALS, COULD SURPRISE
12. Nogales H.S., CA
13. Fountain Valley H.S., CA
14. Corona Del Sol H.S., AZ
15. Highland H.S., AZ

NOT GOING TO MAKE FINALS
16. Carlsbad H.S., CA
17. Ysleta H.S., TX
18. South Pasadena H.S., CA
19. La Canada H.S., CA
20. Covina H.S., CA
21. Chaffey H.S., CA
22. Del Valle H.S., TX
23. Perry H.S., AZ

We'll see if I'm anything close. I have four bands battling for the last three Finals spots, with Arroyo just barely missing out. I think Savanna may surprise and Vista Murrieta might make Ayala sweat a little, but I think Ayala will still take it.


Top
 Profile E-mail  
 
 Post subject: Re: A Look at BOA Long Beach
PostPosted: Mon Oct 24, 2016 2:10 pm 
Offline
Veteran
Veteran

Joined: Wed Jul 09, 2003 8:10 pm
Posts: 690
Excellent predictions. The only moves I would make are: Homestead 5th, Upland 6th, Desert Vista 8th, Los Osos 9th. Homestead, Saratoga, and Clovis West are no slouches, though--they are all outstanding groups. No comment on 10th place. (Savanna will definitely be a contender, though.) Arroyo will be the first band on to perform in prelims this year, and was the first band on to perform in prelims last year, too; and last year they knocked it out of the park. I'm interested to see what they do this year and wonder if that momentum will retain when prelims is over. You don't think Del Valle will be a threat? Must've been a different Del Valle band I saw in San Antonio a few years back. Nothing spectacular, but turned a few heads.

Hostrauser wrote:
Here are my predicted prelims placements for BOA Long Beach...

CONVINCED WILL MAKE FINALS
1. Ayala H.S., CA
2. Vista Murrieta H.S., CA
3. Clovis West H.S., CA
4. Saratoga H.S., CA
5. Upland H.S., CA
6. Homestead H.S., CA
7. Chino Hills H.S., CA

STRONGLY CONFIDENT IN MAKING FINALS
8. Los Osos H.S., CA
9. Desert Vista H.S., AZ
10. Savanna H.S., CA
11. Arroyo H.S., CA

DARK HORSES FOR FINALS, COULD SURPRISE
12. Nogales H.S., CA
13. Fountain Valley H.S., CA
14. Corona Del Sol H.S., AZ
15. Highland H.S., AZ

NOT GOING TO MAKE FINALS
16. Carlsbad H.S., CA
17. Ysleta H.S., TX
18. South Pasadena H.S., CA
19. La Canada H.S., CA
20. Covina H.S., CA
21. Chaffey H.S., CA
22. Del Valle H.S., TX
23. Perry H.S., AZ

We'll see if I'm anything close. I have four bands battling for the last three Finals spots, with Arroyo just barely missing out. I think Savanna may surprise and Vista Murrieta might make Ayala sweat a little, but I think Ayala will still take it.


Top
 Profile E-mail  
 
 Post subject: Re: A Look at BOA Long Beach
PostPosted: Mon Oct 24, 2016 6:07 pm 
Offline
Support Staff
Support Staff
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 29, 2002 6:46 am
Posts: 7936
Location: West Allis, WI
airons0678 wrote:
You don't think Del Valle will be a threat? Must've been a different Del Valle band I saw in San Antonio a few years back. Nothing spectacular, but turned a few heads.

Same Del Valle, they've just regressed a bit since then. They were 59th out of 59 bands at the 2015 San Antonio super regional, and while that's a tough regional... just no.


Top
 Profile E-mail  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 4 posts ] 

All times are UTC - 8 hours


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 12 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group
  http://www.worldofpageantry.com Copyright © 1996 - 2006 Email:  admin@worldofpageantry.com  

Site design and maintenance by Dave Schaafsma at Dave's Web Dynamics